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Example. The 2025 finale, week 18: real games, real crews, real flags and what they cost, on an example roster. Not your team. Connect yours in about a minute, no account needed.
Results, week 18
The referees threw 736 flags on or against this example lineup in 2025, and on net they went 128.1 points of win probability its way. Nobody else in fantasy football will tell you that.
Example Team in ChallengeFlag Example League. How the week went, then what the calls cost.
Week complete all 16 games final
Scoreboard week 18, PPR scoring from your league
Where I thought I was, and where I am projected line and actual line per side, same scale; hover or tap a segment for the player
Me projected
86.2 (2 without a number)
actual
114.5 (3 without a number)
Position:QBRBWRTEKDEF. Lighter is projected, solid is actual.
Your starters
114.5 9 of 9 games final
86.2 projected (+28.3). Bench scored 65.8.
No matchup data for this week on the platform.
Who underperformed
Points left on the bench
40.1
  • RB: Chase Brown (19.0) over Saquon Barkley (0.0), +19.0
  • TE: Trey McBride (13.5) over Brock Bowers (0.0), +13.5
  • WR: Puka Nacua (26.0) over Justin Jefferson (18.4), +7.6
SlotPlayerPointsProjectedvs projection
QBJosh Allen QB BUF-2.5-
RBSaquon Barkley RB PHI---
RBDerrick Henry RB BAL12.616.8-4.2 under
WRJa'Marr Chase WR CIN23.618.8+4.8
WRJustin Jefferson WR MIN18.413.6+4.8
TEBrock Bowers TE LV---
FLEXAmon-Ra St. Brown WR DET24.917.5+7.4
KJake Bates K DET13.08.9+4.1
DEFDEN defense DEF DEN22.08.0+14.0
BNPuka Nacua WR LAR26.021.2+4.8
BNChase Brown RB CIN19.014.7+4.3
BNTrey McBride TE ARI13.517.8-4.3
BNBijan Robinson RB ATL7.321.2-13.9
BNJayden Daniels QB WAS---
The calls a side dish: what the flags cost your players' teams in win probability
What the calls cost my lineup, week 18
-16.6
points of win probability across 38 flags, 27 priced from field position
Season ledger
-128.1
736 flags through week 18
W1: -12.9 W2: -25.6 W3: -10.8 W4: -7.0 W5: +20.1 W6: -12.4 W7: -11.1 W8: -3.2 W9: +0.7 W10: -4.7 W11: -4.2 W12: -14.6 W13: +5.5 W14: -24.8 W15: +4.4 W16: +1.8 W17: -12.7 W18: -16.6
This week's calls points of win probability: positive cost your player's team, negative helped
PlayerCallGameWhat it cost
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 08:37-10.8
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsKC @ LV 2nd 02:57-5.3
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 11:36+0.7
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 29 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 12:02+0.5
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 11:05-0.3
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 13:37-0.2
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 13:37-0.2
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 12:53-0.2
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 2nd 00:54-0.2
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 ydsDET @ CHI 2nd 07:39-0.2
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 10:36-0.2
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 ydsDET @ CHI 4th 02:30-0.2
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 1st 08:58-0.1
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 1st 02:53-0.1
ARI offense (Trey McBride) ARINeutral Zone Infraction drawn, 5 ydsARI @ LAR 3rd 07:56+0.1
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsKC @ LV 2nd 05:40-0.1
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsCLE @ CIN 1st 09:40+0.1
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 2nd 07:20+0.1
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsNO @ ATL 1st 06:02<0.1
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVUnnecessary Roughness / Offense drawn, 10 ydsKC @ LV 1st 02:16<0.1
DEN defense DENDelay of Game drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 2nd 00:11<0.1
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 23 ydsWAS @ PHI 2nd 09:57<0.1
DEN defense DENIllegal Formation drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 00:38<0.1
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 4 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 11:14<0.1
BUF offense (Josh Allen) BUFFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 12 ydsNYJ @ BUF 2nd 13:34<0.1
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALRoughing the Passer drawn, 15 ydsBAL @ PIT 1st 07:19<0.1
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsARI @ LAR 2nd 00:49<0.1
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINIllegal Contact drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 13:37no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsBAL @ PIT 4th 02:30no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 1st 09:02no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 ydsCLE @ CIN 2nd 00:33no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 ydsARI @ LAR 1st 00:47no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 ydsARI @ LAR 1st 00:47no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 15 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsNO @ ATL 3rd 08:55no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 09:09no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
Season ledger by player
PlayerFlagsWhat it cost
DEN defense DEN90+19.1
Puka Nacua LAR77+12.8
Josh Allen BUF54+6.7
Brock Bowers LV56-5.1
Derrick Henry BAL52-7.3
Trey McBride ARI57-9.3
Jayden Daniels WAS61-19.4
Ja'Marr Chase CIN69-19.8
Chase Brown CIN68-19.9
Saquon Barkley PHI47-21.8
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET47-24.0
Jake Bates DET51-24.0
Season ledger by crew
CrewFlagsWhat it cost
Carl Cheffers's crew43+9.9
Bill Vinovich's crew48+8.8
Scott Novak's crew5+7.8
Clete Blakeman's crew49+1.3
Brad Allen's crew46+0.2
Adrian Hill's crew41-0.6
Land Clark's crew2-0.6
Alex Moore's crew5-1.0
John Hussey's crew39-1.1
Ron Torbert's crew3-3.4
Alex Moore's crew13-4.3
Clay Martin's crew46-7.7
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