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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
UAB
UAB
American • Blazers
AWAY
@
MEM
Memphis
American • Tigers
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
UAB
13%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
UAB 19 – MEM 38
Total: 57 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: UAB -14 • total 53.5
DraftKings • context only, not a pick
MEM (HOME)
87%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Memphis holds the ratings edge over UAB, about 16.6 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Memphis is worth about 2.5 points.
Penalty risk
🚩UAB draws Offensive Holding 2.2 times a game over 5 games.
🚩MEM draws False Start 1.2 times a game over 5 games.
🚩UAB draws Defensive Offside 1.2 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatUABMemphis
SP+ overall rank11863
SP+ offense rank11633
SP+ defense rank11597
Pass rate51%48%
Plays per game70.570.5
Explosive play rate5.3%7.2%
Explosives allowed6.0%6.1%
Sack rate (defense)6.8%5.7%
Offense success rate43.9%49.9%
Offense PPA / play0.090.28
Defense PPA allowed0.020.15
Havoc rate (defense)16.1%16.6%
UAB derived scheme
balanced
Memphis derived scheme
balanced
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
AAC American officials
American crews call 7% fewer penalties than the FBS average (11.9 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
11.9
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
-6.6%
Yards / game
104.0
On home team
47%
Home lean
-1.0 pts
Most called
False Start2.84 / game
Offensive Holding2.01 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.38 / game
Defensive Offside0.78 / game
Defensive Holding0.57 / game
Personal Foul / Defense0.45 / game
96 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
UAB
Head coachAlex Mortensen
Memphis
Head coachCharles Huff
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM ET
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Location
Memphis, TN
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published