ChallengeFlag

College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
UGA
Georgia
Southeastern • Bulldogs
AWAY
@
ALA
Alabama
Southeastern • Crimson Tide
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
UGA
61%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
UGA 30 – ALA 25
Total: 55 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: UGA -1.5 • total 51.5
DraftKings • context only, not a pick
ALA (HOME)
39%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Georgia holds the ratings edge over Alabama, about 7.2 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Alabama is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Alabama's offense ranks 7th in SP+.
✓Alabama's defense ranks 13th in SP+.
✓Georgia's offense ranks 1st in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩ALA draws Offensive Holding 1.6 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatGeorgiaAlabama
SP+ overall rank16
SP+ offense rank17
SP+ defense rank113
Pass rate46%54%
Plays per game71.168.5
Explosive play rate6.4%7.5%
Explosives allowed4.4%5.1%
Sack rate (defense)4.8%8.4%
Offense success rate54.3%51.2%
Offense PPA / play0.440.35
Defense PPA allowed-0.10-0.11
Havoc rate (defense)18.7%20.0%
Georgia derived scheme
balancedlimits explosives
Alabama derived scheme
limits explosivespass heavypressure defense
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
SEC Southeastern officials
Southeastern crews call about as many penalties as the FBS average (13.35 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
13.35
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
+4.8%
Yards / game
115.3
On home team
48%
Home lean
-0.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.6 / game
Offensive Holding2.19 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.3 / game
Defensive Offside0.95 / game
Defensive Holding0.8 / game
Delay of Game0.66 / game
145 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Georgia
Head coachKirby Smart
Alabama
Head coachKalen DeBoer
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Location
Tuscaloosa, AL
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published