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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
TULN
Tulane
American • Green Wave
AWAY
@
ARMY
Army
American • Black Knights
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
TULN
31%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
TULN 21 – ARMY 29
Total: 50 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: TULN -3 • total 48.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
ARMY (HOME)
69%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Army holds the ratings edge over Tulane, about 6.5 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Army is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Tulane comes in with an extra week of rest.
✓Tulane travels about 1,200 miles.
Penalty risk
🚩TULN draws False Start 2.5 times a game over 4 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatTulaneArmy
SP+ overall rank9772
SP+ offense rank10975
SP+ defense rank8077
Pass rate48%18%
Plays per game68.269.1
Explosive play rate6.8%5.0%
Explosives allowed7.0%5.8%
Sack rate (defense)6.1%3.7%
Offense success rate34.3%53.1%
Offense PPA / play0.100.33
Defense PPA allowed0.170.23
Havoc rate (defense)11.0%12.3%
Tulane derived scheme
balanced
Army derived scheme
run heavy
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
AAC American officials
American crews call 7% fewer penalties than the FBS average (11.9 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
11.9
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
-6.6%
Yards / game
104.0
On home team
47%
Home lean
-1.0 pts
Most called
False Start2.84 / game
Offensive Holding2.01 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.38 / game
Defensive Offside0.78 / game
Defensive Holding0.57 / game
Personal Foul / Defense0.45 / game
96 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Tulane
Head coachWill Hall
Army
Head coachJeff Monken
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET
Venue
Michie Stadium
Location
West Point, NY
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published