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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
WSU
Washington State
Pac-12 • Cougars
AWAY
@
USU
Utah State
Pac-12 • Aggies
HOME
WSU 3 – USU 0 • 1 11:59
🎯Win Probability Forecast
WSU
44%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
WSU 22 – USU 24
Total: 46 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: WSU -5.5 • total 43.5
DraftKings • context only, not a pick
USU (HOME)
56%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Home field for Utah State is worth about 2.5 points.
Penalty risk
🚩USU draws False Start 2.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩WSU draws Offensive Holding 2.0 times a game over 5 games.
🚩WSU draws False Start 1.4 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatWashington StateUtah State
SP+ overall rank105105
SP+ offense rank120121
SP+ defense rank7978
Pass rate52%54%
Plays per game66.768.8
Explosive play rate5.8%6.9%
Explosives allowed5.5%6.3%
Sack rate (defense)6.4%4.9%
Offense success rate33.8%35.3%
Offense PPA / play-0.12-0.07
Defense PPA allowed0.030.07
Havoc rate (defense)12.8%12.9%
Washington State derived scheme
pass heavy
Utah State derived scheme
pass heavy
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
PAC-12 Pac-12 officials
Pac-12 crews call 5% more penalties than the FBS average (13.39 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
13.39
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
+5.1%
Yards / game
119.2
On home team
49%
Home lean
+0.9 pts
Most called
False Start2.77 / game
Offensive Holding2.39 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.14 / game
Defensive Holding0.89 / game
Defensive Offside0.84 / game
Delay of Game0.6 / game
57 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Washington State
Head coachKirby Moore
Utah State
Head coachBronco Mendenhall
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Fri Oct 9, 9:00 PM ET
Venue
Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium
Location
Logan, UT
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published