PROJECTED SCORE
MD 13 – OSU 40
Total: 54 pts
High Data Confidence
Line:
MD -32.5 • total 56.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
OSU (HOME)
95%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
✓Ohio State holds the ratings edge over Maryland, about 24.9 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Ohio State is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Ohio State's offense ranks 1st in SP+.
✓Ohio State's defense ranks 2nd in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩Big Ten crews call 17% fewer penalties than the FBS average (10.55 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
🚩OSU draws False Start 2.0 times a game over 5 games. Big Ten crews call it 12% less often than FBS crews, so about 1.8 expected.
🚩OSU draws Defensive Pass Interference 1.4 times a game over 5 games.
🚩MD draws False Start 1.4 times a game over 5 games. Big Ten crews call it 12% less often than FBS crews, so about 1.2 expected.