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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
KU
Kansas
Big 12 • Jayhawks
AWAY
@
UTAH
Utah
Big 12 • Utes
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
KU
8%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
KU 14 – UTAH 38
Total: 52 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: KU -16 • total 51.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
UTAH (HOME)
92%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Utah holds the ratings edge over Kansas, about 20.5 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Utah is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Utah comes in with an extra week of rest.
✓Kansas travels about 900 miles.
✓Utah's offense ranks 13th in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩KU draws Offensive Holding 2.8 times a game over 4 games.
🚩KU draws False Start 1.5 times a game over 4 games.
🚩UTAH draws Defensive Pass Interference 1.2 times a game over 4 games. Big 12 crews call it 14% more often than FBS crews, so about 1.4 expected.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatKansasUtah
SP+ overall rank669
SP+ offense rank7013
SP+ defense rank6711
Pass rate45%43%
Plays per game69.673.9
Explosive play rate7.4%7.5%
Explosives allowed6.6%4.9%
Sack rate (defense)6.4%7.4%
Offense success rate50.2%50.7%
Offense PPA / play0.300.33
Defense PPA allowed-0.14-0.07
Havoc rate (defense)22.3%20.4%
Kansas derived scheme
balanced
Utah derived scheme
limits explosivesrun heavyup tempo
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
BIG-12 Big 12 officials
Big 12 crews call 5% fewer penalties than the FBS average (12.08 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
12.08
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
-5.2%
Yards / game
105.1
On home team
50%
Home lean
+1.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.68 / game
Offensive Holding2.18 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.52 / game
Defensive Offside0.65 / game
Defensive Holding0.58 / game
Delay of Game0.55 / game
124 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Kansas
Head coachLance Leipold
Utah
Head coachMorgan Scalley
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 10:15 PM ET
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Location
Salt Lake City, UT
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published