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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
LSU
LSU
Southeastern • Tigers
AWAY
@
UK
Kentucky
Southeastern • Wildcats
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
LSU
74%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
LSU 31 – UK 20
Total: 51 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: UK -8.5 • total 51.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
UK (HOME)
26%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓LSU holds the ratings edge over Kentucky, about 13.3 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Kentucky is worth about 2.5 points.
✓LSU travels about 600 miles.
✓LSU's defense ranks 4th in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩LSU draws False Start 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩LSU draws Offensive Holding 1.6 times a game over 5 games.
🚩UK draws Offensive Holding 1.0 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatLSUKentucky
SP+ overall rank1044
SP+ offense rank2240
SP+ defense rank447
Pass rate54%50%
Plays per game71.768.8
Explosive play rate6.4%5.1%
Explosives allowed5.3%5.5%
Sack rate (defense)8.0%6.1%
Offense success rate50.2%51.2%
Offense PPA / play0.280.22
Defense PPA allowed-0.160.03
Havoc rate (defense)24.1%18.0%
LSU derived scheme
early down aggressivelimits explosivespass heavypressure defense
Kentucky derived scheme
balanced
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
SEC Southeastern officials
Southeastern crews call about as many penalties as the FBS average (13.35 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
13.35
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
+4.8%
Yards / game
115.3
On home team
48%
Home lean
-0.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.6 / game
Offensive Holding2.19 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.3 / game
Defensive Offside0.95 / game
Defensive Holding0.8 / game
Delay of Game0.66 / game
145 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
LSU
Head coachLane Kiffin
Kentucky
Head coachWill Stein
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM ET
Venue
Kroger Field
Location
Lexington, KY
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published