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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
KENT
Kent State
Mid-American • Golden Flashes
AWAY
@
WMU
Western Michigan
Mid-American • Broncos
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
KENT
15%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
KENT 15 – WMU 32
Total: 47 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: KENT -13.5 • total 43.5
Bovada • context only, not a pick
WMU (HOME)
85%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Western Michigan holds the ratings edge over Kent State, about 15.2 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Western Michigan is worth about 2.5 points.
Penalty risk
🚩KENT draws False Start 3.6 times a game over 5 games.
🚩KENT draws Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense 0.8 times a game over 5 games. Mid-American crews call it 60% more often than FBS crews, so about 1.3 expected.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatKent StateWestern Michigan
SP+ overall rank13096
SP+ offense rank132113
SP+ defense rank12272
Pass rate46%38%
Plays per game60.966.4
Explosive play rate6.3%4.8%
Explosives allowed7.3%5.3%
Sack rate (defense)6.2%9.0%
Offense success rate33.4%41.5%
Offense PPA / play-0.040.10
Defense PPA allowed0.150.09
Havoc rate (defense)14.5%11.6%
Kent State derived scheme
balancedball control
Western Michigan derived scheme
limits explosivespressure defenserun heavy
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
MID-AMERICAN Mid-American officials
Mid-American crews call about as many penalties as the FBS average (12.39 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
12.39
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
-2.7%
Yards / game
109.3
On home team
50%
Home lean
+1.8 pts
Most called
False Start2.52 / game
Offensive Holding2.0 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.31 / game
Defensive Offside0.79 / game
Defensive Holding0.78 / game
Delay of Game0.65 / game
77 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Kent State
Head coachMark Carney
Western Michigan
Head coachLance Taylor
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Location
Kalamazoo, MI
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published