ChallengeFlag

College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
SCAR
South Carolina
Southeastern • Gamecocks
AWAY
@
FLA
Florida
Southeastern • Gators
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
SCAR
21%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
SCAR 22 – FLA 36
Total: 58 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: SCAR -11 • total 59.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
FLA (HOME)
79%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Florida holds the ratings edge over South Carolina, about 11.0 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Florida is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Florida's offense ranks 9th in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩FLA draws Offensive Holding 2.2 times a game over 5 games.
🚩SCAR draws False Start 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩SCAR draws Offensive Holding 1.6 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatSouth CarolinaFlorida
SP+ overall rank4812
SP+ offense rank399
SP+ defense rank5131
Pass rate51%50%
Plays per game68.567.4
Explosive play rate6.4%6.8%
Explosives allowed6.5%6.1%
Sack rate (defense)5.9%7.0%
Offense success rate48.0%48.6%
Offense PPA / play0.200.34
Defense PPA allowed0.160.05
Havoc rate (defense)13.7%19.3%
South Carolina derived scheme
balanced
Florida derived scheme
balanced
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
SEC Southeastern officials
Southeastern crews call about as many penalties as the FBS average (13.35 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
13.35
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
+4.8%
Yards / game
115.3
On home team
48%
Home lean
-0.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.6 / game
Offensive Holding2.19 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.3 / game
Defensive Offside0.95 / game
Defensive Holding0.8 / game
Delay of Game0.66 / game
145 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
South Carolina
Head coachShane Beamer
Florida
Head coachJon Sumrall
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 12:45 PM ET
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Location
Gainesville, FL
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published