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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
STAN
Stanford
Atlantic Coast • Cardinal
AWAY
@
ND
Notre Dame
FBS Independents • Fighting Irish
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
STAN
5%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
STAN 7 – ND 46
Total: 53 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: STAN -38.5 • total 54.5
Bovada • context only, not a pick
ND (HOME)
95%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Notre Dame holds the ratings edge over Stanford, about 36.5 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Notre Dame is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Stanford travels about 1,900 miles.
✓Notre Dame's offense ranks 4th in SP+.
✓Notre Dame's defense ranks 2nd in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩STAN draws Offensive Holding 2.2 times a game over 5 games.
🚩STAN draws False Start 1.0 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatStanfordNotre Dame
SP+ overall rank1023
SP+ offense rank984
SP+ defense rank982
Pass rate57%46%
Plays per game68.565.5
Explosive play rate5.4%9.2%
Explosives allowed7.0%4.2%
Sack rate (defense)4.3%8.2%
Offense success rate38.0%52.4%
Offense PPA / play0.070.32
Defense PPA allowed0.33-0.07
Havoc rate (defense)11.9%23.6%
Stanford derived scheme
pass heavy
Notre Dame derived scheme
balancedexplosivelimits explosivespressure defense
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference; the conference profile appears once the pipeline has stamped this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Stanford
Head coachTavita Pritchard
Notre Dame
Head coachMarcus Freeman
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Location
South Bend, IN
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published