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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
ARIZ
Arizona
Big 12 • Wildcats
AWAY
@
WVU
West Virginia
Big 12 • Mountaineers
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
ARIZ
64%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
ARIZ 31 – WVU 25
Total: 56 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: WVU -3 • total 61.0
Bovada • context only, not a pick
WVU (HOME)
36%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Arizona holds the ratings edge over West Virginia, about 9.3 points on SP+.
✓Home field for West Virginia is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Arizona travels about 1,800 miles.
Penalty risk
🚩WVU draws False Start 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩ARIZ draws Offensive Holding 1.6 times a game over 5 games.
🚩WVU draws Defensive Pass Interference 1.0 times a game over 5 games. Big 12 crews call it 14% more often than FBS crews, so about 1.1 expected.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatArizonaWest Virginia
SP+ overall rank3364
SP+ offense rank3243
SP+ defense rank3892
Pass rate54%38%
Plays per game73.773.2
Explosive play rate5.7%6.1%
Explosives allowed5.2%7.5%
Sack rate (defense)5.8%6.6%
Offense success rate49.6%45.0%
Offense PPA / play0.220.22
Defense PPA allowed-0.010.17
Havoc rate (defense)16.7%14.2%
Arizona derived scheme
limits explosivespass heavyup tempo
West Virginia derived scheme
run heavyup tempo
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
BIG-12 Big 12 officials
Big 12 crews call 5% fewer penalties than the FBS average (12.08 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
12.08
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
-5.2%
Yards / game
105.1
On home team
50%
Home lean
+1.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.68 / game
Offensive Holding2.18 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.52 / game
Defensive Offside0.65 / game
Defensive Holding0.58 / game
Delay of Game0.55 / game
124 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Arizona
Head coachBrent Brennan
West Virginia
Head coachRich Rodriguez
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET
Venue
Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Location
Morgantown, WV
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published