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College Football Intelligence — portal fit, roster lab, game intel

🎯 Game Intel
2026 • Week 6
TXAM
Texas A&M
Southeastern • Aggies
AWAY
@
MIZZ
Missouri
Southeastern • Tigers
HOME
🎯Win Probability Forecast
TXAM
33%
win probability
PROJECTED SCORE
TXAM 22 – MIZZ 29
Total: 51 pts
High Data Confidence
Line: TXAM -3.5 • total 48.5
Bovada • context only, not a pick
MIZZ (HOME)
67%
win probability
Model cfb-sp-v1: SP+ edge, home field, rest and travel. Officials are not published in the college feed, so there is no crew adjustment.
🧠What drives the forecast
✓Missouri holds the ratings edge over Texas A&M, about 4.8 points on SP+.
✓Home field for Missouri is worth about 2.5 points.
✓Texas A&M travels about 600 miles.
✓Missouri's defense ranks 14th in SP+.
Penalty risk
🚩MIZZ draws Offensive Holding 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩MIZZ draws False Start 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
🚩TXAM draws False Start 1.8 times a game over 5 games.
⚔️Team Profiles
StatTexas A&MMissouri
SP+ overall rank3925
SP+ offense rank3840
SP+ defense rank4414
Pass rate48%44%
Plays per game72.772.1
Explosive play rate6.0%7.2%
Explosives allowed7.2%4.8%
Sack rate (defense)8.4%8.7%
Offense success rate43.6%44.0%
Offense PPA / play0.070.24
Defense PPA allowed-0.010.00
Havoc rate (defense)18.3%22.0%
Texas A&M derived scheme
balancedpressure defenseup tempo
Missouri derived scheme
limits explosivespressure defenserun heavyup tempo
SP+ and advanced stats from CFBD for the current season; scheme tags derived from the play-by-play. Lower rank is better.
🏃Officiating Crew
SEC Southeastern officials
Southeastern crews call about as many penalties as the FBS average (13.35 per game); the home-visitor split is even. Most common: False Start.
Flags / game
13.35
FBS average
12.74
vs FBS
+4.8%
Yards / game
115.3
On home team
48%
Home lean
-0.3 pts
Most called
False Start2.6 / game
Offensive Holding2.19 / game
Defensive Pass Interference1.3 / game
Defensive Offside0.95 / game
Defensive Holding0.8 / game
Delay of Game0.66 / game
145 games on file for this conference's crews over the last two seasons. Officials are not published for college games. College crews are assigned by conference, so this is the profile of the conference that staffs this game.
📋Coaching Staffs
Texas A&M
Head coachMike Elko
Missouri
Head coachEli Drinkwitz
Coordinators appear when the staff file lists them.
🏟️Situational Context
Kickoff
Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET
Venue
Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field
Location
Columbia, MO
Roof
outdoor
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
Game type
regular
Officials
Not published